Dolphins vs Patriots Odds, Trends & Spreads

Dolphins-Patriots Spread

Did you know that the all-time series games of the Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots are nearly knotted up? After reading the Dolphins-Patriots spread, should you pick the team known for franchise players like Dan Marino or Tom Brady?

The Patriots and Dolphins have been battling since 1966. If you’re new to sports betting lines, then placing NFL bets might seem really challenging. Have no worries. Understanding the fundamentals of football betting can help you make the best bets.

Keep reading to learn about NFL game stats from the last Patriots vs. Dolphins game, recent trends in Patriots-Dolphins odds, all-time series information, and how to bet on the Patriots-Dolphins line, including point spread, over/under, and moneyline bets.

Dolphins vs. Patriots: Past Game Stats

Week 1 (2020)

Moneyline: NE -320, MIA +260

Point Spread: NE -7, MIA +7

Over/Under: 41.5

Result: New England defeated Miami 21-11, so it covered the spread. The combined total was 32, so the game went under.

The Patriots hosted the Miami Dolphins at Gillette Stadium. No fans attended the game due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Training camps included events like COVID-19 testing and virtual meetings. The NFL preseason was also canceled for health and safety precautions.

New England’s new era with QB Cam Newton started when 4-time Super Bowl MVP Tom Brady signed with the Bucs as a free agent during the offseason. It was the first time Brady wasn’t on the Patriots’ roster since 1999.

After its 5-11 season, Miami would start QB Ryan Fitzpatrick but would likely make Tua Tagovailoa its starting quarterback over time.

Key players in the game included:

  • QB Mac Jones
  • WR Jakobi Meyers
  • WR Jakeem Grant
  • RB Damien Harris
  • TE Mike Gesicki
  • LB Kyle Van Noy

Why Miami Can Cover

Miami had several ways it could beat the Patriots in the post-Tom Brady era.

Miami’s active wide receivers included Preston Williams and DeVante Parker after recovering from past injuries.

Meanwhile, the backfield included running backs Matt Breida and Jordan Howard.

The Dolphins also bolstered the offensive line by adding free agents center Ted Karras and tackle Freck Flowers.

Why the Patriots Can Cover

Head coach Bill Belichick’s all-time record versus Miami was 25-17.

Since 2016, RB James White led the team with 20 receiving touchdowns. RB Sony Michel scored four rushing TDS in his last three AFC East games.

Meanwhile, in the 2019 NFL season, WR Julian Edelman had his second career season with 1,000-plus receiving yards and 100-plus catches.

The Patriots’ defense included Associated Press (AP) Defensive player of the year and starting cornerback Stephon Gilmore. He led the NFL with 20 passes and tied for most interceptions (six) last year.

Week 15 (2020)

Moneyline: MIA -105, NE +125

Point Spread: MIA -1.5, NE +1.5

Over/Under: 41.5

Result: New England lost to the Dolphins 22-12, so Miami covered the spread. The total combined score was 34, so the game went under.

The Dolphins and Patriots clashed at Hard Rock Stadium during week 15. The Dolphins had an 8-5 overall record and 4-3 home record, while the Patriots had a 6-7 overall record and 2-5 road record.

Why Miami Can Cover

The Dolphins went 7-2 in their last nine games after losing 33-27 to the Kansas City Chiefs last week. The team forced four turnovers, and cornerback Xavien Howard led the NFL with nine INTs.

As reported on some NFL podcasts, Linebacker Jerome Baker had eight tackles and 2.5 sacks the previous week. QB Tua Tagovailoa racked up 316 passing yards and two TDs.

Why New England Can Cover

The Patriots tried to bounce back after a 24-3 loss to the Los Angeles Rams. They ranked low in total offense (24th) and passing yards (29th) but fifth in rushing yards per game.

CB Adam Phillips led the Pats with 10 tackles the previous week. CB J.C. Jackson ranked No. 2 in the NFL with seven INTs.

Dolphins vs. Patriots: Past Betting Trends

Week 1 (2020)

The Dolphins were 3-2 in their last five games versus the Patriots. They were also 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last six season openers.

Last season, the teams split their matchups.

Week 15 (2020)

The Patriots had seven losses for the first time since 2002. The 2020 season ended the squad’s NFL-record streak of 17 seasons with 10-plus wins.

Dolphins vs. Patriots: All-Time Series Facts

As of September 2021, the New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins played 111 times, including three playoff games. The Dolphins won 57 games, and the Patriots won 54 games.

Dolphins vs. Patriots: How to Bet

When betting on the Patriots vs. Dolphins games, you have several options that you can consider:

Over/Under: The totals bet projects how many combined points the two teams will score. Bettors select either “over” or “under” the set number.

If the final combined score is the exact number oddsmakers like set, then the bet is a push, and all original stakes are returned.

Parlays: These multi-part bets include two or more “legs.” Bettors win the bet if they win each and every leg of the parlay bet. Some examples include 3-, 5-, and 7-leg bets.

Parlay bets offer higher odds than other bets since they require bettors to win each part. Meanwhile, they also offer the chance for bigger payouts due to such odds.

Proposition Bets: These prop bets are side bets on individual players or specific events in a game. Some examples include which team will score first in a match and the over/under for a quarterback’s TDs or INTs.

Live Betting: Bettors can place bets after the opening kickoff and during various game stages, like the first or second quarter, for example.

The odds usually change during the game. This situation offers bettors a chance to get bigger payouts if they can find “value bets” throughout the game.

Moneyline: Bettors pick a football game-winning team in the straight-up bet.

Point Spread: The number of points by which a football team wins or loses determines the bet’s outcome. A minus sign (-) indicates the favorite, while a plus sign (+) indicates the underdog. This bet is popular in other pro leagues like the NBA, MLB, and NHL.

Here’s an example:

Dolphins -3 vs. Patriots + 3

In this scenario, the Dolphins are 3-point favorites. A Miami bet wins if the team wins by four or more points. Meanwhile, a New England bet wins if the Patriots lose by two or fewer points or win outright.

If Miami wins by exactly three points, then the bet is a “push” or tie.

Here are the other teams you can stake on:

  • Arizona Cardinals
  • Atlanta Falcons
  • Baltimore Ravens
  • Buffalo Bills
  • Carolina Panthers
  • Chicago Bears
  • Cincinnati Bengals
  • Cleveland Browns
  • Dallas Cowboys
  • Denver Broncos
  • Detroit Lions
  • Green Bay Packers
  • Houston Texans
  • Indianapolis Colts
  • Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Kansas City Chiefs
  • Las Vegas Raiders
  • Los Angeles Chargers
  • Los Angeles Rams
  • Minnesota Vikings
  • New Orleans Saints
  • New York Giants
  • New York Jets
  • Philadelphia Eagles
  • Pittsburgh Steelers
  • San Francisco 49ers
  • Seattle Seahawks
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Tennessee Titans
  • Washington Football Team