The Denver Broncos and New Orleans Saints meet on Sunday in very different circumstances with the Broncos fighting to stay alive in the Wild Card race and the Saints looking to hold onto the lead in the division after an injury to their starting quarterback. New Orleans enters Sunday’s game as a 6-point favorite with the game total set at 43.5 points on SportsBetting.com.
New Orleans Saints at Denver Broncos
Date: Sunday, Nov. 29 – 4:05 PM ET
Odds: Saints -6
It’s been a season of streaks for Denver. The Broncos started the season 0-3 before winning three of their next four games to get back into playoff contention, but then they lost two straight to put them back at the bottom of the division. But after a win last week, Denver has a chance to start another winning streak to put itself back into the Wild Card conversation.
Last week, the Broncos beat one of the hottest teams in the NFL, snapping the Miami Dolphins’ five-game winning streak with a 20-13 victory. As has been the case all season, Denver leaned heavily on its defense, and it delivered. The Broncos held rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa to the worst passing performance of his young career. They picked up six sacks on the day while holding the Dolphins to just 223 total yards and one touchdown.
Denver’s recipe for success this season begins with a strong defense but also includes an offense that’s able to do just enough to get the victory – and that’s what the Broncos were able to do last week with quarterback Drew Lock throwing for 270 yards and running back Melvin Gordon finishing with two touchdowns on the ground.
When Denver’s defense is at its best and the offense is able to limit mistakes and take advantage of opportunities, the Broncos are a dangerous team.
New Orleans Saints
The New Orleans Saints boast one of the top offenses in the NFL this season, ranking in the top five in scoring offense with 29.5 points per game. The problem is, they’re now missing the leader of that prolific offense after Drew Brees was placed on injured reserve with rib injuries.
In Brees’ absence, the Saints turned to dual-threat quarterback Taysom Hill, and he delivered in his first NFL start at quarterback, leading New Orleans to a 24-9 win over the Atlanta Falcons. Hill went 18-of-23 passing in the game for 233 yards and also the team’s leading rusher, carrying the ball 10 times for 51 yards and two touchdowns.
But despite the high-powered offense, it’s actually been the defense that’s been the Saints’ strength this season, ranking among the top-three in the NFL in both total and scoring defense. That defense came up huge on Sunday, holding the Falcons to just nine total points, no touchdowns and under 250 yards of total offense.
Regardless of who’s at quarterback, the Saints have been one of the most well-rounded teams in the league this season, and they show no signs of stopping.
Despite Hill’s solid debut, it’s clear that the Saints’ offense is nowhere near as dangerous without Brees. But thankfully for New Orleans, the defense has been so good that the offense doesn’t need to be as potent as it is with Brees at the helm. The Saints will completely shut down a mediocre Denver offense this weekend and they have the offensive firepower to punch back on the other end, even with Hill at quarterback. New Orleans is going to get the win and the cover.
Pick: Saints -6