When Colby Covington and Tyron Woodley square off in the octagon on Saturday, Sept. 19, in UFC Vegas 11, it’s going to be an intense matchup between longtime rivals.
Covington, who comes into the fight as the betting favorite (-275), will be looking to outwork and grind out a win over Woodley (+235). The fight, slated for 9 p.m. ET, will take place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas.
The two welterweight fighters, former training partners at American Top Team, are each coming off losses in their last matches and need to get themselves back on track in a highly competitive UFC weight class.
Oddsmakers are seeing this fight ending in favor of Covington, who is known for his ability to outwork his opponent with his gritty fighting style. He’s not afraid to take a match to the wire and win via decision. A bet on Covington, at the current odds, would require a bettor to wager $275 in order to win $100. Those choosing to put their money on Woodley as the underdog need to place $100 in order to win $235 if he proves victorious.
Woodley, who is 38 years old, doesn’t mind fighting from underdog status. He was considered a long shot when he took on Robbie Lawler in 2016, and he not only earned the upset but also took the welterweight title with the win.
Unfortunately, Woodley hasn’t had the best showings the last two times he’s been out. He lost his belt and the match to Kamaru Usman, and then fell in his most recent fight to Gilbert Burns.
Covington, who is 32, is not only the favorite to win this fight, but he’s also expected to be the next fighter to challenge Usman in a rematch for the belt if he defeats Woodley.
Covington’s most recent fight was a loss to Usman in the form of a fifth-round TKO.
Who’s going to win?
Based on how uninspired Woodley has looked in his last two matches, it’s tough to see him leaving the fight with a victory. Although Covington has boasted he would be sending his opponent out of the arena on a stretcher, this bout is likely to end in a decision unless something drastic unfolds.
But that decision, as we see it, will be given to Covington by the judges. This isn’t going to be the most exciting fight, but when it comes to the ability to outwork opponents and score points, Covington definitely has the edge over his former training partner.
Other fights scheduled for UFC Vegas 11
Another fight worth keeping an eye on will be Shamil Abdurakhimov vs. Ciryl Gane in the heavyweight division. Gane, who is 6-0 in his MMA career and 3-0 in the UFC, was originally scheduled to fight Abdurakhimov, 20-5 in MMA and 5-3 in UFC, in UFC 249. Gane was forced to withdraw from the fight due to a collapsed lung.
Gane’s most recent fight ended in a decision over Tanner Boser in December, while Abdurakhimov had a three-fight win streak come to an end last September in a fight against Curtis Blaydes.
In the women’s strawweight division, Mackenzie Dern (8-1 MMA, 3-1 UFC) will take on Randa Markos (10-8-1 MMA, 6-7-1 UFC).
Dern took her first career loss last October when she fell to Amanda Ribas, but bounced back with a victory over Hanna Cifers via the first leg submission in women’s MMA history.
Markos has been on and off with her victories and defeats. She most recently fell in a unanimous decision to Ribas in March after defeating Ashley Yoder last October in a split decision.
Other fights slated for the Sept. 19 event include: Donald Cerrone vs. Nico Price (170 pounds), Ryan Spann vs. Johnny Walker (205), Kevin Holland vs. Darren Stewart (185), David Dvorak vs. Jordan Espinosa (125), Randy Costa vs. Journey Newson (135), TJ Laramie vs. Darrick Minner (145) and Andre Ewell vs. Irwin Rivera (135).
In the women’s matches, Mara Romero Borella will take on Mayra Bueno Silva (125) and Sarah Alpar will fight Jessica-Rose Clark (135).